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#10Systematic Trading2026

SmartFlow EA v2

Systematic Volume Profile & VWAP order flow arbitrage (2-year verified tick backtest)

github ↗tearsheet ↗
MQL5Volume ProfileAnchored VWAPOrder FlowMetaTrader 5

SmartFlow EA v2: Systematic Volume Profile & VWAP Order Flow Arbitrage

SmartFlow EA v2 is an institutional systematic intraday trading engine capturing structural liquidity imbalances around Volume Profile value areas and Anchored VWAP, verified across a continuous 2-year tick-by-tick backtest on Gold (XAUUSD) and Dow Jones (US30).

2-Year Verified Performance (2024.08.01 – 2026.08.01)

  • Realized Sharpe Ratio: 2.72 on Gold (`XAUUSD`), with a 1-year peak efficiency sub-window of 3.92, exceeding institutional allocation hurdles.
  • Blended Dual-Engine Return: +93.10% net profit (+38.9% CAGR) over 24 months across 876 executed trades modeled with live floating spreads and broker commissions.
  • Strict Drawdown Containment: Maximum portfolio equity drawdown strictly contained to 19.40% with a 2.85 Recovery Factor and 1.22 Profit Factor.
  • Zero Overnight Gap Risk: Average trade holding period of 1 to 6 hours with strict intraday close; 0 overnight swap charges and 0 weekend gap risk.

Quantitative Microstructure Architecture

  • Three-Pillar Confluence Filter:

1. *Daily Anchored VWAP Slope:* Confirms macro institutional trend bias before evaluating entries.

2. *Volume Profile Distribution:* Classifies profile distribution (P-shape bullish expansion vs. B-shape bearish liquidation).

3. *High-Volume Node (HVN) Retest:* Requires price interaction at institutional value nodes; orders are rejected in low-volume liquidity voids.

  • Dynamic Asymmetric Payoff: Enforces a strict 1.0% risk per trade targeting a 3:1+ payoff ratio, with automated breakeven ratcheting at +1R (+2 pips) to eliminate adverse excursions.
  • Cross-Asset Alpha Complementarity: Combines US30 front-week institutional rebalancing alpha (Monday/Tuesday) with Gold end-week macro hedging alpha (Thursday/Friday) for portfolio-level P&L smoothing.
  • Verified Tear Sheet: Complete institutional tear sheet with equity curves, holding duration distributions, and multi-asset metrics available as TearSheet PDF.